Thread: The Kings are alright

Because they are doing one of the main things that wins games. They have just been a little unlucky.

First, what are the Kings doing right?
Getting the puck at the opponents goal. They are doing it more than their opposition. By one of the highest margins in the league. How do I know this? Because people (evil sorcerers known as statisticians) count shots. And compare them. And present them in the form of tables and graphs.

Like this one!
http://behindthenet.ca/fenwick_2012....&section=close

What this says: when the score is within 2 goals, the LAK get 57.77 percent of the shots. (that leaves only 42.33 for the opponent)
I'll take those odds!

And how do I know they are just unlucky?
Because those evil statisticians also try to measure things like luck. And they have noticed 2 areas where luck is a factor. Shooting percentage, and save percentage. Over hockey history, those numbers tend to cluster into a very tight range. Over the long term, teams tend toward the same percentages. And those percentages will generally add up to 1.000. They call that statistic PDO
(BULL****? that can't POSSIBLY be right. THEY JUST HAPPEN TO ADD UP TOWARD 1.000?!?)
But it is. The statisticians magic makes it so. Just accept.

So how have the kings done luck wise?
Near the bottom of the league.
PDO numbers by NHL team - Feb 4 | NHLNumbers.com
Their shooting percentage is low, and so is their save percentage. Both should regress toward the average. (They will score more often on their shots, and they will save more of the shots against)
More goals for, fewer goals against = more wins.

Be at peace Kings fans, for the statistics are with us!

moneypuck

That, and because this same team actually won the Cup not that long ago.

After what game, will the players have their first players only meeting? Any guesses?

Originally Posted by aaron

Because....

This is what happened last season?

Originally Posted by Vrankol

That, and because this same team actually won the Cup not that long ago.

That was 8 months ago.

Originally Posted by aaron

Because they are doing one of the main things that wins games. They have just been a little unlucky.

First, what are the Kings doing right?
Getting the puck at the opponents goal. They are doing it more than their opposition. By one of the highest margins in the league. How do I know this? Because people (evil sorcerers known as statisticians) count shots. And compare them. And present them in the form of tables and graphs.

Like this one!
http://behindthenet.ca/fenwick_2012....rt=6告on=close

What this says: when the score is within 2 goals, the LAK get 57.77 percent of the shots. (that leaves only 42.33 for the opponent)
I'll take those odds!

And how do I know they are just unlucky?
Because those evil statisticians also try to measure things like luck. And they have noticed 2 areas where luck is a factor. Shooting percentage, and save percentage. Over hockey history, those numbers tend to cluster into a very tight range. Over the long term, teams tend toward the same percentages. And those percentages will generally add up to 1.000. They call that statistic PDO
(BULL****? that can't POSSIBLY be right. THEY JUST HAPPEN TO ADD UP TOWARD 1.000?!?)
But it is. The statisticians magic makes it so. Just accept.

Be at peace Kings fans, for the statistics are with us!

Can those magical beings known as statisticians honestly call a 48 game season "long term?"

Is there any way to view each team's 48 game PDO from last season?

what ever, just as long as we get that 8th seed, ill be happy.

Originally Posted by aaron

Because they are doing one of the main things that wins games. They have just been a little unlucky.

First, what are the Kings doing right?
Getting the puck at the opponents goal. They are doing it more than their opposition. By one of the highest margins in the league. How do I know this? Because people (evil sorcerers known as statisticians) count shots. And compare them. And present them in the form of tables and graphs.

Like this one!
http://behindthenet.ca/fenwick_2012....rt=6告on=close

What this says: when the score is within 2 goals, the LAK get 57.77 percent of the shots. (that leaves only 42.33 for the opponent)
I'll take those odds!

And how do I know they are just unlucky?
Because those evil statisticians also try to measure things like luck. And they have noticed 2 areas where luck is a factor. Shooting percentage, and save percentage. Over hockey history, those numbers tend to cluster into a very tight range. Over the long term, teams tend toward the same percentages. And those percentages will generally add up to 1.000. They call that statistic PDO
(BULL****? that can't POSSIBLY be right. THEY JUST HAPPEN TO ADD UP TOWARD 1.000?!?)
But it is. The statisticians magic makes it so. Just accept.

So how have the kings done luck wise?
Near the bottom of the league.
PDO numbers by NHL team - Feb 4 | NHLNumbers.com
Their shooting percentage is low, and so is their save percentage. Both should regress toward the average. (They will score more often on their shots, and they will save more of the shots against)
More goals for, fewer goals against = more wins.

Be at peace Kings fans, for the statistics are with us!

No offense but the Kool-Aid is flowing hard in this post. Not sure what games you are watching but the Kings are once again 2nd to last in scoring with a whopping 16 goals. Worst PP also. They are NOT doing the things to win games and not being unlucky at all. The team is flat out playing like crap. I don't care how good they did last year in the playoffs because you can never win the cup if you don't make the playoffs and with a shorten season, EVERY game is important. But they are playing exactly how they started last year and unfortunately there is no forgiveness this year of taking 60 games to turn it around.