The Athletic Kings Preview

santiclaws

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It's a pretty in-depth analysis. They're projecting them at 80.9 points, which is well out of the playoffs.
https://theathletic.com/2826538/2021/09/26/los-angeles-kings-2021-22-season-preview/

The most difficult teams to project are always the teams with young talent on the rise and the teams with the most variable rosters. The Kings check off both boxes as their roster is likely the most up in the air of any team in the league. There are a lot of spots up for grabs and a lot of prospects vying for them that it’s difficult to get a fair read on what the team will be.

Based on the best-educated guess at the time of writing, the Kings project to be an 81-point team next season. While there’s a lot of potential for change from here to the start of the season (especially with the depth chart article being from August 1), there is no possible change that would suddenly make Los Angeles a 90 or even 85-point team. That’s where the team would need to be to have a more realistic shot at the playoffs, but for now the team sits at roughly one-in-10 odds. A spot in the bottom five is much more likely.

The Kings ranked seventh to last in 2020-21 and it’s about where the model expects the team to land next season, give or take. That may not feel like much improvement, but the 81-point projection is what matters here. That’s a 10-point jump from last season which is pretty substantial, even if it’s not enough to make a competitive playoff push.

I agree with pretty much everything he said. The playoffs are not completely out of the realm of possibility, but everything would have to go right, including significant contributions out of a couple of rookies. A tall order.
 
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It's a pretty in-depth analysis. They're projecting them at 80.9 points, which is well out of the playoffs. The playoffs are not completely out of the realm of possibility, but pretty much everything would have to go right, including significant contributions out of a couple of rookies. A tall order.

https://theathletic.com/2826538/2021/09/26/los-angeles-kings-2021-22-season-preview/



I agree with pretty much everything he said. The playoffs are not completely out of the realm of possibility, but everything would have to go right, including significant contributions out of a couple of rookies. A tall order.

Yep. Even if we had a generational player we would still struggle for at least 3 more years.
 
Doms analysis is definitely a cold cup of water for anyone who was thinking the rookies would be plug and play. It's also worth noting just how much father time is going to shift things around. Nobody saying it yet but it's probable there is a time when Danault is going to be the top minute man by the end of his contract and Kopis.
Playoffs would be great, totally prepared to take the under though.
 
Doms analysis is definitely a cold cup of water for anyone who was thinking the rookies would be plug and play. It's also worth noting just how much father time is going to shift things around. Nobody saying it yet but it's probable there is a time when Danault is going to be the top minute man by the end of his contract and Kopis.
Playoffs would be great, totally prepared to take the under though.

Told my wife last night that my potential for disappointment is managed by having reasonable expectations. I'm still not expecting a playoff team and won't be terribly disappointed if they miss (though I'd be ecstatic if they made it). I just want to be happy sitting in a seat at Staples again and I hope that I can keep a positive mindset no matter what the outcomes are. I mean, as long as they are better than the Sharts and Sucks...
 
While I don't think we are a lock to make the playoffs, I see the Sharks and Ducks as essentially having no chance, which means that, to miss the playoffs, two of the Kraken, Canucks and Flames must beat us. I think we have as good a shot as any of those teams.
 
With how weak the Pacific division is , I would be pretty disappointed if the Kings don't grab one of the playoff spots. Kraken is a huge unknown but I they are not going to have a Vegas like season. Calgary is pretty mediocre. Van will have some resurgence, but their defense is a mess. Edmonton same as Calgary but 2 superstars that carry the team.
 
The safe bet, especially for a writer, is to say the Kings will not make the playoffs. That said, I am 100% in on the Kings making the playoffs this season. As others have stated, a weak Pacific helps and the Kings really do have a deeper team than many of their Pacific opponents. Really, to me, it comes down to the coaching staff being able to make the adjustments needed during the season to continue to enhance their system and put the players in the right roles (both of which has been a struggle in the past).
 
Told my wife last night that my potential for disappointment is managed by having reasonable expectations. I'm still not expecting a playoff team and won't be terribly disappointed if they miss (though I'd be ecstatic if they made it). I just want to be happy sitting in a seat at Staples again and I hope that I can keep a positive mindset no matter what the outcomes are. I mean, as long as they are better than the Sharts and Sucks...

Awwe. Love it. Micro-goals are key to happiness.
 
Like Schr?dinger's cat, it remains to be seen if the Kings are alive or dead for the playoffs. I hope the cat lives.
 
Like Schr?dinger's cat, it remains to be seen if the Kings are alive or dead for the playoffs. I hope the cat lives.

From the dead cat perspective: My fear is that if attendance dips below that magic number Blake will have both Tarasenko and Eichel on the roster by mid November. Selling jerseys and tickets from the IR.

The first one who types allison/deadmarsh will be named in my suicide note.

Shoot, that got dark, sorry. =)

[goofy gif demonstrating a light hearted nature]
 
The first one who types allison/deadmarsh will be named in my suicide note.
a_allison_i.jpg


getty_adeadmarsh.jpg





I win!

cartoon-grim-reaper-idea-eps-vector_csp23471246.jpg
 
I just hope the Kranken are not better than the Kings. Realistically I?m thinking the Ducks and Sharks are better. If they prove me wrong then kudos to them.
 
Rebuilds take patience and it?s quite all right if the kids aren?t there yet. The issue with the Kings is Kopitar and Doughty: they aren?t getting younger. That is obviously true of any player and anyone with the passage of time and all, but it?s especially true for those two who are already in decline. If the goal is to sync timelines to take advantage of each player?s last remaining years of quality, time is unfortunately running out. That?s likely why many are hopeful this is the year Los Angeles takes a step because it only gets more difficult to match timelines the older those three get, but I don?t see it adding up.

just goes to show how flawed The Plan has been from the beginning
 
It is almost a consensus opinion that the Kings will miss the playoffs. The Hockey News has us 5th. Vegas has us missing. I can't disagree with the models. I don't think the Kings got significantly better for all of the salary room that they spent. I'm expecting another lottery chance and hopefully we'll win it in 2022 and get another top player.

I am looking forward to being able to attend games and following the Kings on some out of town road trips.
 
just goes to show how flawed The Plan has been from the beginning

Well, one thing is for sure: the upper management was too passive/myopic in letting DL go too late and then too greedy by allowing RB to start a rebuild too late.

That being said...if the Kings started the rebuild sooner, at the very least DD demands a trade, which then begs the question: what's the point, from the "keep the core and use it for the next generation contender" standpoint? Your best player, biggest star, in his prime, leaves because you're tanking...that leaves the Kings in a pickle, probably overpaying for a (considerably) worse D-man in UFA. Unless they struck gold in draft or a trade, but that's *very* unlikely. So, would the Kings become a playoff team sooner? Probably. Would they be a Cup contender? Quite unlikely.

This way, the Kings get to keep their core intact which at the very least serves them well from leadership and development standpoint. DD, if properly motivated, still has 3-4 years left of quality hockey in him, considering his body isn't fragile. Quick is IMO too fragile to be relied upon on a contender.

Kopitar's contract runs out in 3 years time, and it's quite unlikely the Kings will desperately need all that cap space before that. Sure, it's not ideal, but it's not like the Kings have 2 surefire stars on their roster that you know will push this team into contention within a year or 2, and demand massive contracts within this timeframe. Who is going to demand a 5 million raise? Kempe? Not with his production. Maaaybe Vilardi if he has a huge breakout season. And that's it. Most likely all of them get affordable bridge post-rookie contracts. So, after all is said and done, if 1 center develops into 1st line quality, Kopitar CAN be a 3rd line center in his final 2 years without massive cap issues.
 
Well, one thing is for sure: the upper management was too passive/myopic in letting DL go too late and then too greedy by allowing RB to start a rebuild too late.

That being said...if the Kings started the rebuild sooner, at the very least DD demands a trade, which then begs the question: what's the point, from the "keep the core and use it for the next generation contender" standpoint? Your best player, biggest star, in his prime, leaves because you're tanking...that leaves the Kings in a pickle, probably overpaying for a (considerably) worse D-man in UFA. Unless they struck gold in draft or a trade, but that's *very* unlikely. So, would the Kings become a playoff team sooner? Probably. Would they be a Cup contender? Quite unlikely.

This way, the Kings get to keep their core intact which at the very least serves them well from leadership and development standpoint. DD, if properly motivated, still has 3-4 years left of quality hockey in him, considering his body isn't fragile. Quick is IMO too fragile to be relied upon on a contender.

Kopitar's contract runs out in 3 years time, and it's quite unlikely the Kings will desperately need all that cap space before that. Sure, it's not ideal, but it's not like the Kings have 2 surefire stars on their roster that you know will push this team into contention within a year or 2, and demand massive contracts within this timeframe. Who is going to demand a 5 million raise? Kempe? Not with his production. Maaaybe Vilardi if he has a huge breakout season. And that's it. Most likely all of them get affordable bridge post-rookie contracts. So, after all is said and done, if 1 center develops into 1st line quality, Kopitar CAN be a 3rd line center in his final 2 years without massive cap issues.

upper management? I think you really mean AEG. Regardless, more than enough blame to go around to the people making hockey decisions no matter who has occupied the GM or President's chair following 2014.

We are somehow right back where we started in 2007. 3 generational players drafted and developed in the 3 major positions and 2 Stanley Cups later. Or, was it all just a dream?
 

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