No offense, but I trust a computer model running a Monte Carlo simulation of all the remaining games with weighting of each team's performance to date over your gut or my gut. The Athletic model has our odds at 88%.
The Kings would need to go 0-3-1 in their next 3 and Vegas 3-0-0 for them to be ahead of us. The Vegas part is possible since they are playing Seattle twice very soon.
All the while, Edmonton/Dallas/Nashville would have to be passing us as well, playing .500 or better hockey. It just isn't very likely. I look at it like the Kings have a 10 point lead in a basketball game with 8 minutes to go. The odds are we are going to win. The score might get closer or even flip. But in the end the hot streaks and slumps will balance out and the Kings should still be in the lead.
Another way to look at it, is if the Kings play .500 hockey to get to 96 points, then Vegas needs to play .700 hockey to get 20 points out of their remaining 14 games. It is possible with the loser points system but still requires the cheats to play well. And it is a huge shame that Chicago choked the 3-0 lead or the Kings would really be sitting pretty. You had one job Hawks-- beat Vegas-- and you blew it!